Goto

Collaborating Authors

 mape value


Residual-based Adaptive Huber Loss (RAHL) -- Design of an improved Huber loss for CQI prediction in 5G networks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Channel Quality Indicator (CQI) plays a pivotal role in 5G networks, optimizing infrastructure dynamically to ensure high Quality of Service (QoS). Recent research has focused on improving CQI estimation in 5G networks using machine learning. In this field, the selection of the proper loss function is critical for training an accurate model. Two commonly used loss functions are Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). Roughly speaking, MSE put more weight on outliers, MAE on the majority. Here, we argue that the Huber loss function is more suitable for CQI prediction, since it combines the benefits of both MSE and MAE. To achieve this, the Huber loss transitions smoothly between MSE and MAE, controlled by a user-defined hyperparameter called delta. However, finding the right balance between sensitivity to small errors (MAE) and robustness to outliers (MSE) by manually choosing the optimal delta is challenging. To address this issue, we propose a novel loss function, named Residual-based Adaptive Huber Loss (RAHL). In RAHL, a learnable residual is added to the delta, enabling the model to adapt based on the distribution of errors in the data. Our approach effectively balances model robustness against outliers while preserving inlier data precision. The widely recognized Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model is employed in conjunction with RAHL, showcasing significantly improved results compared to the aforementioned loss functions. The obtained results affirm the superiority of RAHL, offering a promising avenue for enhanced CQI prediction in 5G networks.


Real-Time Surface-to-Air Missile Engagement Zone Prediction Using Simulation and Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Surface-to-Air Missiles (SAMs) are crucial in modern air defense systems. A critical aspect of their effectiveness is the Engagement Zone (EZ), the spatial region within which a SAM can effectively engage and neutralize a target. Notably, the EZ is intrinsically related to the missile's maximum range; it defines the furthest distance at which a missile can intercept a target. The accurate computation of this EZ is essential but challenging due to the dynamic and complex factors involved, which often lead to high computational costs and extended processing times when using conventional simulation methods. In light of these challenges, our study investigates the potential of machine learning techniques, proposing an approach that integrates machine learning with a custom-designed simulation tool to train supervised algorithms. We leverage a comprehensive dataset of pre-computed SAM EZ simulations, enabling our model to accurately predict the SAM EZ for new input parameters. It accelerates SAM EZ simulations, enhances air defense strategic planning, and provides real-time insights, improving SAM system performance. The study also includes a comparative analysis of machine learning algorithms, illuminating their capabilities and performance metrics and suggesting areas for future research, highlighting the transformative potential of machine learning in SAM EZ simulations.


Deep Transformer Model with Pre-Layer Normalization for COVID-19 Growth Prediction

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Coronavirus disease or COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. The first confirmed case caused by this virus was found at the end of December 2019 in Wuhan City, China. This case then spread throughout the world, including Indonesia. Therefore, the COVID-19 case was designated as a global pandemic by WHO. The growth of COVID-19 cases, especially in Indonesia, can be predicted using several approaches, such as the Deep Neural Network (DNN). One of the DNN models that can be used is Deep Transformer which can predict time series. The model is trained with several test scenarios to get the best model. The evaluation is finding the best hyperparameters. Then, further evaluation was carried out using the best hyperparameters setting of the number of prediction days, the optimizer, the number of features, and comparison with the former models of the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Recurrent Neural Network (RNN). All evaluations used metric of the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE). Based on the results of the evaluations, Deep Transformer produces the best results when using the Pre-Layer Normalization and predicting one day ahead with a MAPE value of 18.83. Furthermore, the model trained with the Adamax optimizer obtains the best performance among other tested optimizers. The performance of the Deep Transformer also exceeds other test models, which are LSTM and RNN.


MaLTESE: Large-Scale Simulation-Driven Machine Learning for Transient Driving Cycles

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Optimal engine operation during a transient driving cycle is the key to achieving greater fuel economy, engine efficiency, and reduced emissions. In order to achieve continuously optimal engine operation, engine calibration methods use a combination of static correlations obtained from dynamometer tests for steady-state operating points and road and/or track performance data. As the parameter space of control variables, design variable constraints, and objective functions increases, the cost and duration for optimal calibration become prohibitively large. In order to reduce the number of dynamometer tests required for calibrating modern engines, a large-scale simulation-driven machine learning approach is presented in this work. A parallel, fast, robust, physics-based reduced-order engine simulator is used to obtain performance and emission characteristics of engines over a wide range of control parameters under various transient driving conditions (drive cycles). We scale the simulation up to 3,906 nodes of the Theta supercomputer at the Argonne Leadership Computing Facility to generate data required to train a machine learning model. The trained model is then used to predict various engine parameters of interest. Our results show that a deep-neural-network-based surrogate model achieves high accuracy for various engine parameters such as exhaust temperature, exhaust pressure, nitric oxide, and engine torque. Once trained, the deep-neural-network-based surrogate model is fast for inference: it requires about 16 micro sec for predicting the engine performance and emissions for a single design configuration compared with about 0.5 s per configuration with the engine simulator. Moreover, we demonstrate that transfer learning and retraining can be leveraged to incrementally retrain the surrogate model to cope with new configurations that fall outside the training data space.


A Study of EV BMS Cyber Security Based on Neural Network SOC Prediction

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Recent changes to greenhouse gas emission policies are catalyzing the electric vehicle (EV) market making it readily accessible to consumers. While there are challenges that arise with dense deployment of EVs, one of the major future concerns is cyber security threat. In this paper, cyber security threats in the form of tampering with EV battery's State of Charge (SOC) was explored. A Back Propagation (BP) Neural Network (NN) was trained and tested based on experimental data to estimate SOC of battery under normal operation and cyber-attack scenarios. NeuralWare software was used to run scenarios. Different statistic metrics of the predicted values were compared against the actual values of the specific battery tested to measure the stability and accuracy of the proposed BP network under different operating conditions. The results showed that BP NN was able to capture and detect the false entries due to a cyber-attack on its network.